Thursday, September 12, 2024

TD Bank

There is an article about why TD’s profit is down on Money Sense.

On my other blog I wrote yesterday about Telus Corp (TSX-T, NYSE-TU) ... learn more. There will be no blog on Friday, September 13 as I will be at the Money Show. The next stock I will write about will be Trican Well Service Ltd (TSX-TCW, OTC-TOLWF) ... learn more on Monday, September 16, 2024 around 5 pm.

This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. I am not a licensed professional investment advisor. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.

See my site for an index to these blog entries and for stocks followed. I have three blogs. The first talks only about specific stocks and is called Investment Talk. The second one contains information on mostly investing and is called Investing Economics Mostly. My last blog is for my book reviews and it is called Non-Fiction Mostly. Follow me on Twitter. I am on Instagram. Or you can just Google #walktoronto spbrunner8166 to see my pictures.

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Canadian Banks

There is an article on Canadian bank earnings report on Money Sense.

On my other blog I wrote yesterday about Accord Financial Corp (TSX-ACD, OTC-ACCFF) ... learn more. Next, I will write about Telus Corp (TSX-T, NYSE-TU) ... learn more on Wednesday, September 11, 2024 around 5 pm.

This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. I am not a licensed professional investment advisor. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.

See my site for an index to these blog entries and for stocks followed. I have three blogs. The first talks only about specific stocks and is called Investment Talk. The second one contains information on mostly investing and is called Investing Economics Mostly. My last blog is for my book reviews and it is called Non-Fiction Mostly. Follow me on Twitter. I am on Instagram. Or you can just Google #walktoronto spbrunner8166 to see my pictures.

Thursday, September 5, 2024

Something to Buy September 2024

There is always something to buy in the stock market. On Tuesday, I put out a list of the stocks that I covered and showed what stock might be a good deal based on dividend yield. Now I am trying to categorize what sorts of stocks may be a good deal based on dividend yield. The dividend yield test in this note is a quick way of finding possible stock buys. See my Spreadsheet .

The advantages to using dividend yield to judge how cheap or expensive a stock is, is that you are not using estimates or old data (like last reported quarter's data). You are using today's stock price and today's dividend yield. However, this is just a place to start. It is a good idea to check the stock price with other tests, especially the P/S Ratio test. For other testing, like P/E Ratios, P/S Ratios, P/CF Ratios, P/BV Ratios and Price/Graham Price Ratios, you use estimates or data from the last reported financial quarter.

If a stock is showing as a buy using the dividend yield test, I usually like to verify it is a buy by doing a P/S Ratio test. Here you compare the current P/S Ratio to the 10 year median P/S Ratio. If the current P/S Ratio is lower than the 10 year median, then the stock is a buy. I note that Morningstar gives a current P/S Ratio. The 10 year median ratio is shown in my review of a stock. The 10 year median ratio in a review is good for one year from the date of review.

This historical dividend yield test does not work well for old Income Trust companies. These companies had quite high Dividend Yields which will probably never be seen again. So, I started a column called VT (for Valid Test) and this applies to checking stock price using dividend yield. If it is not a valid test, I use N to show this. For these stocks, you might be better comparing the current dividend yield to the 10 year median dividend yield.

However, no system is perfect. But if you are interested in buying a stock a list of stocks cheap or reasonable using dividend yield data might be a good place to start.

Categorizing stocks is not as simple as it might seem. Every site you go to has categorized stocks a bit differently. I try to keep this as simple as possible. See Something to Buy January 2024 Spreadsheet above to see what stocks are showing whether a stock is relatively cheap based on historical high dividend yields (P/Hi), historical median dividend yields (P/Med), 10 year high dividend yields (P/10Hi), or 10 year median dividend yields (P/10Yr). As in other spreadsheets, you can highlight a line or several lines for better viewing.

In the following notes I am only going to list stocks showing as cheap using the historical high dividend yields (P/Hi) and historical median dividend yields (P/Med).

I follow 21 stocks in the Consumer Discretionary category. Two of these stocks (10%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. They are Canadian Tire Corp (TSX-CTC.A, OTC-CDNAF), Magna International Inc. (TSX-MG, NYSE-MGA). High Liner Foods (TSX-HLF, OTC-HLNFF) and Molson Coors Canada (TSX-TPX.B, NYSE-TAP) have been removed from this list.

Twelve (57%) of Consumer Discretionary are showing cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are BRP Inc (TSX-DOO, NASDAQ-DOOO), Canadian Tire Corp (TSX-CTC.A, OTC-CDNAF), Goodfellow Inc (TSX-GDL, OTC-GFELF), High Liner Foods (TSX-HLF, OTC-HLNFF), Keg Royalties Income Fund, (TSX-KEG.UN, OTC-KRIUF), Leon's Furniture (TSX-LNF, OTC-LEFUF), Linamar Corporation (TSX-LNR, OTC-LIMAF), Magna International Inc. (TSX-MG, NYSE-MGA), Molson Coors Canada (TSX-TPX.B, NYSE-TAP), Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp (TSX-PZA, OTC-PZRIF), Richelieu Hardware Ltd (TSX-RCH, OTC-RHUHF), and Sleep Country Canada Holdings Inc (TSX-ZZZ, OTC-SCCAF). Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp (TSX-PZA, OTC-PZRIF) has been added to this list.

I follow 13 Consumer Staples stocks. Three stocks (37%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. They are Andrew Peller Ltd (TSX-ADW.A, Jamieson Wellness Inc (TSX-JWEL, OTC-JWLLF) and Maple Leaf Foods Inc (TSX-MFI, OTC-MLFNF). Andrew Peller Ltd (TSX-ADW.A, OTC-ADWPF) and Maple Leaf Foods Inc (TSX-MFI, OTC-MLFNF) have been added back to this list.

Nine stocks (62%) are showing cheap by historical median dividend yield. These are Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX-ATD.B, OTC-ANCUF), Andrew Peller Ltd (TSX-ADW.A, OTC-ADWPF), Empire Company Ltd (TSX-EMP.A, OTC-EMLAF), Jamieson Wellness Inc (TSX-JWEL, OTC-JWLLF), KP Tissue Inc (TSX-KPT, NYSE-KPTSF), Lassonde Industries (TSX (LAS.A, OTC-LSDAF), Maple Leaf Foods Inc (TSX-MFI, OTC-MLFNF), Metro Inc (TSX-MRU, OTC-MTRAF), and Saputo Inc. (TSX-SAP, OTC-SAPIF). No change from last month.

I follow Five Health Care stocks. One of these stocks (20%) is showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. It is Medtronic PCL (NYSE-MDT). There is no change from last month.

Two stocks (40%) are cheap by the historical median dividend yield. The stocks are Johnson and Johnson (NYSE-JNJ), and Medtronic Inc. (NYSE-MDT). There is no change from last month.

I follow 9 Energy stocks. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by the historical high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

There are Five stocks (56%) showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Canadian Natural Resources (TSX-CNQ, NYSE-CNQ), Cenovus Energy Inc (TSX-CVE, NYSE-CVE), Mullen Group (TSX-MTL, OTC-MLLGF), Ovintiv Inc (TSX-OVV, OTC-OVV), and Suncor Energy (TSX-SU, NYSE-SU). There is no change from last month.

I follow 26 Financial stocks under the categories of Banks (7), Financial Services (14), and Insurance (5).

I follow 7 Bank stocks. One of these stocks (14%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. It is National Bank of Canada (TSX-NA, OTC-NTIOF). National Bank of Canada (TSX-NA, OTC-NTIOF) has been added to this list.

Five stocks (71%) are showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Bank of Montreal (TSX-BMO, NYSE-BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX-BNS, NYSE-BNS), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX-CM, NYSE-CM), National Bank of Canada (TSX-NA, OTC-NTIOF), and Toronto Dominion Bank (TSX-TD, NYSE-TD). Barclays PLC (LSE-BARC, NYSE-BCS) has been removed from this list and National Bank of Canada (TSX-NA, OTC-NTIOF) has been added to this list.

I follow 14 Financial Service stocks. None of these stocks (0%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

Eight stocks (57%) are showing as cheap by the historical median dividend yield. These stocks are AGF Management Ltd (TSX-AGF.B, OTC-AGFMF), Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust (TSX-AD.UN, OTC-ALARF), Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp (TSX-AI, OTC-AMIVF), CI Financial (TSX-CIX, NYSE-CIXX), EQB Inc (TSX-EQB, OTC-EQGPF), Goeasy Ltd (TSX-GSY, OTC-EHMEF), IGM Financial (TSX-IGM, OTC-IGIFF), and Power Corp (TSX-POW, OTC-PWCDF). First National Financial Corp (TSX-FN, OTC-FNLIF) has been removed from this list.

I follow 5 Insurance stocks. None of these stocks (0%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

Four stocks (80%) are showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. These stocks are Great-West Lifeco Inc. (TSX-GWO, OTC-GWLIF), IA Financial Corp (TSX-IAG, OTC-IDLLF), and Manulife Financial Corp (TSX-MFC, NYSE-MFC), Sun Life Financial (TSX-SLF, NYSE-SLF). There is no change from last month.

I follow 32 Industrial stocks. Because I have so many and Industrial, I have divided my Industrial stocks into 4 separate categories under Industrial. They are Construction (7), Industrial (3), Manufacturing (5) and (Business) Services (17).

I have 7 Construction stocks. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

One stock (14%) is showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. It is Aecon Group Inc (TSX-ARE, OTC-AEGXF). There is no change from last month.

I have 3 stocks left with the sub-index of Industrial. None of these stocks (0%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

One stock (33%) is showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. It is Finning International Inc. (TSX-FTT, OTC-FINGF). There is no change from last month.

I have 5 Manufacturing stocks. None of these stocks (0%) are showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

One stock (14%) is showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. It is Exco Technologies Ltd. (TSX-XTC, OTC-EXCOF). There is no change from last month.

I follow 17 Services stocks. One stock (6%) is showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. It is Titanium Transportation Group Inc (TSX-TTR, OTC-TTTGF). There is no change from last month.

Eleven stock (65%) are showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Algoma Central Corporation (TSX-ALC, OTC-AGMJF), Canadian National Railway (TSX-CNR, NYSE-CNI), McCoy Global Inc (TSX-MCB, OTC-MCCRF), Parkland Fuel Corp (TSX-PKI, OTC-PKIUF), Pason Systems Inc (TSX-PSI, OTC-PSYTF), Pulse Seismic Inc. (TSX-PSD, OTC-PLSDF), Superior Plus Corp (TSX-SPB, OTC-SUUIF), Titanium Transportation Group Inc (TSX-TTR, OTC-TTTGF), Transcontinental Inc (TSX-TCL.A, OTC-TCLAF), Trican Well Service Ltd (TSX-TCW, OTC-TOLWF), and Wajax Corp (TSX-WJX, OTC-WJXFF). There is no change from last month.

I follow 10 Material stocks. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by the historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

One stock (10%) is showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. It is Barrick Gold Corp (TSX-ABX, NYSE-ABX). There is no change from last month.

I follow 10 Real Estate stocks. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by historically high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

Six stocks (60%) are showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Allied Properties REIT (TSX-AP.UN, OTC-APYRF), Artis REIT (TSX-AX.UN, OTC-ARESF), First Capital REIT (TSX-FCR.UN, OTC-FCXXF), Granite REIT (TSX-GRT.UN, NYSE-GRP.U), Melcor Developments Inc. and (TSX-MRD, OTC-MODVF), and SmartCentres REIT (TSX-SRU.UN, OTC-CWYUF). Choice Properties REIT (TSX-CHP.UN, OTC-PPRQF), and H & R REIT (TSX-HR.UN, OTC-HRUFF) have been removed from this list.

I follow 4 of the Telecom Service stocks. Three of the stocks (75%) are showing as cheap by historically high dividend yield. They are BCE (TSX-BCE, NYSE-BCE), Quebecor Inc (TSX-QBR.B, OTC-QBCRF), and Telus Corp (TSX-T, NYSE-TU). Telus Corp (TSX-T, NYSE-TU) has been added back to this list.

Four stocks (100%) are showing cheap by historical median dividend yield. These stocks are BCE (TSX-BCE, NYSE-BCE), Cogeco Communications Inc (TSX-CCA, OTC-CGEAF), Quebecor Inc (TSX-QBR.B, OTC-QBCRF) and Telus Corp (TSX-T, NYSE-TU). There is no change from last month.

I follow 9 Tech stocks. One stock (11%) is showing as cheap by historical high dividend yield and it is Enghouse Systems Limited (TSX-ENGH, OTC-EGHSF). There is no change from last month.

Four stock (44%) are showing cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Enghouse Systems Limited (TSX-ENGH, OTC-EGHSF), Evertz Technologies (TSX-ET, OTC-EVTZF), Nuvei Corp (TSX-NVEI, NASDAQ-NVEI), and Sylogist Ltd (TSXV-SYZ, OTC-SYZLF). There is no change from last month.

I follow 7 of the Infrastructure Type stocks. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by historical high dividend yield. There is no change from last month.

Three stocks (43%) are showing cheap by historical median dividend yield. They are Capital Power Corp (TSX-CPX, OTC-CPRHF), Enbridge Inc. (TSX-ENB, NYSE-ENB), and TC Energy Corp (TSX-TRP, NYSE-TRP). There is no change from last month.

I follow 9 of the Power Type utility companies. No stock (0%) is showing as cheap by historical high dividend yield. ATCO Ltd (TSX-ACO.X, OTC-ACLLF) has been removed from this list.

Five stocks (56%) are showing as cheap by historical median dividend yield. Those stocks are ATCO Ltd (TSX-ACO.X, OTC-ACLLF), Boralex Inc (TSX-BLX, OTC-BRLXF), Canadian Utilities Ltd (TSX-CU, OTC-CDUAF), Emera Inc (TSX-EMA, OTC-EMRAF), and Fortis Inc (TSX-FTS, OTC-FRTSF). Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (TSX-AQN, NYSE-AQN) has been removed from this list and Boralex Inc (TSX-BLX, OTC-BRLXF) has been added to this list.

On my other blog I wrote yesterday about was SmartCentres REIT (TSX-SRU.UN, OTC-CWYUF) ... learn more. Next, I will write about be Cargojet Inc (TSX-CJT, OTC-CGJTF) ... learn more on Friday, September, 6, 2024 around 5 pm.

This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.

See my site for an index to these blog entries and for stocks followed. I have three blogs. The first talks only about specific stocks and is called Investment Talk . The second one contains information on mostly investing and is called Investing Economics Mostly. My last blog is for my book reviews and it is called Non-Fiction Mostly. Follow me on Twitter. I am on Instagram. Or you can just Google #walktoronto spbrunner8166 to see my pictures.

Tuesday, September 3, 2024

Dividend Stocks September 2024

First, I want to point out that not all the stocks I follow are great investments. I follow a diverse selection of stocks. There are some that I would never invest in personally.

I follow several resource stocks even though I personally have little invested in this area. I follow what I find interesting and with resource stocks, I think it is important for Canadians to know what is happening in the resource area. On the other hand, I do follow of good number of great dividend growth stocks. You might want to get the free weekly newsletter from Canadian Stock Channel which says what might be the best Canadian Dividend Stocks to buy at the present time.

The theory is that you should use the dividend yield to see if a dividend stock is selling at a stock price that is relatively cheap. A stock price is considered cheap if it is selling at a dividend yield higher than the historical high yield or higher than the historical average yield or historical median yield. Some use the 10 year average or median yield rather than the historical ones. I use median yields, always. See my spreadsheet at dividend growth stocks that I just updated for September 2024. On this list,
  • I have 12 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I have 81 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical median dividend yield
  • I have 6 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 10 year high dividend yield and
  • 88 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 10 year average dividend yield.
When I did my list last list in August 2024,
  • I have 11 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I have 84 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical median dividend yield
  • I have 5 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 10 year high dividend yield and
  • 90 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 10 year average dividend yield.
When I did my list in January 2014,
  • I had 9 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical high dividend yield,
  • I had 45 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the historical average dividend yield and
  • 39 stocks with a dividend yield higher than the 5 year median dividend yield.
If you had one share of each stock, total dividends last month would be $219.44. This month dividends would be $219.85. It can vary as because some stocks are paid in US$ and so this figure is affected by currency exchange. Of the stock that I follow 7 stocks has raised their dividends since last month. If I did an index based on stock price, the index for last month would be 773.25and this month 792.94.

Cargojet Inc (TSX-CJT, OTC-CGJTF)
EQB Inc (TSX-EQB, OTC-EQGPF)
Jamieson Wellness Inc (TSX-JWEL, OTC-JWLLF)
Leon's Furniture (TSX-LNF, OTC-LEFUF)

Mullen Group (TSX-MTL, OTC-MLLGF)
RB Global Inc (TSX-RBA, NYSE-RBA)
Saputo Inc (TSX-SAP, OTC-SAPIF)

Of the stocks I follow, 1 stock has cut their dividends.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (TSX-AQN, NYSE-AQN)

Of the stocks I follow, 0 stock have suspended or terminated their dividend.

Of the stocks I follow, the following declined the most in their stock price. Of the stocks I follow, 29.03% had declining stock prices. Last month 33.55% of the stock had declining prices.

Name Exch Sym Exch Sym Chge SP
National Bank of Canada TSX NA OTC NTIOF -88.94%
Chesswood Group TSX CHW OTC CHWWF -47.06%
Trigon Metals Inc. TSXV TM OTC PNTZF -23.08%
Brookfield Corp TSX BN NYSE BN -20.00%
Calian Group Ltd. TSX CGY OTC CLNFF -18.38%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp TSX AQN NYSE AQN -14.40%
Maple Leaf Foods Inc TSX MFI OTC MLFNF -13.82%
Ballard Power Systems TSX BLDP NASDAQ BLDP -11.07%
Northland Power Inc TSX NPI OTC NPIFF -10.23%
WildBrain Ltd TSX WILD OTC WLDBF -8.51%

Of the stock that I follow, these stocks gained the most in their stock price. Of the stock I follow, 70.32% had increasing stock price. And, 0.65% or 1 stock had the same stock price as last month. Last month 65.81% of the stocks had increasing prices with 0.65% or 1 stocks of the stocks with the same price.

Name Exch Sym Exch Sym Chge SP
Cargojet Inc TSX CJT OTC CGJTF 11.57%
Aecon Group Inc TSX ARE OTC AEGXF 11.78%
RB Global Inc TSX RBA NYSE RBA 11.89%
Bombardier Inc. TSX BBD.B OTC BDRBF 12.36%
Barclays PLC ADR LSE BARC NYSE BCS 13.63%
CIBC TSX CM NYSE CM 14.10%
Lassonde Industries TSX LAS.A OTC LSDAF 14.22%
IA Financial Corp TSX IAG OTC IDLLF 15.35%
Hammond Power Solutions TSX HPS.A OTC HMDPF 15.64%
Supremex Inc TSX SXP OTC SUMXF 17.20%

Most of my stocks started out as Dividend Payers. Currently 13 stocks are not paying any dividends and this would be some 8.39% of the stocks that I follow. Three of these stocks never had dividends, so 6.45% of the stocks I follow have suspended or do not pay a dividend. The three stocks that never paid dividends are Ballard Power Systems Inc. (TSX-BLD, NASDAQ-BLDP), Blackberry Ltd. (TSX-BB, NASDAQ-BBRY) and Trigon Metals Inc. (TSX-TM, OTC-PNTZF).

I am showing whether a stock is relatively cheap based on historical high dividend yields (P/Hi), historical average dividend yields (P/Ave), historical median dividend yields (P/Med) or on 10 year median dividend yields (P/10Y). See these fields on the right side of the file. You can highlight a particular stock using your cursor to highlight the appropriate line.

There are always some stocks to buy because they are priced reasonably. There are always stocks to currently avoid because they are overpriced. Looking at dividend growth stocks that are selling at stock prices that give them a dividend yield above the historical median dividend yield are probably the best bet.

The stocks that are selling at prices that give them a dividend yield above the historical high yield could be good stocks to buy. However, these stocks may be selling so cheap because of current troubles, especially financial troubles and should be treated with caution. Do not forget that I have all the stocks I follow on this spreadsheet and some are much better investments than others.

You should always investigate a stock before you buy. Sometimes different stocks in certain sectors are just out of favour or the stock market is just in one of its declines. However, a stock may be relatively cheap because it has problems. That is why you should always investigate a stock before buying.

Looking at stock this way is equivalent to a stock filter. A main problem I know of is for the old income trusts. These companies have generally lowered their dividend yields forever and they will probably never get back to the old dividend yield highs they made as an income trust company. For these stocks, you might be better comparing the current dividend yield to the 5 year median dividend yield. I also started a column called VT (for Valid Test) and this applies to checking stock price using dividend yield. If it is not a valid test, I use N to show this.

Also, on some stocks I have a lot more information years in my spreadsheets than for other stocks. So, finding a stock on the list as "cheap" is only the first step in finding a stock to buy. This is the same with any other sort of stock filters that you can use.

The last thing to remember is that I have entering figures into a spreadsheet. I could put them in incorrectly, I can transpose figures and I can misread figures. This is another great reason why you should check a stock out before investing. As this is just a filter, it works better on some stocks than on others.

See my entry on my methodology in establishing the historical dividend yield highs and lows for the stocks that I cover. I have an entry on my introduction to Dividend Growth. You might want to look at my original entry on Dividend Growth Stocks. I have also written about why I like Dividend Growth companies.

On my other blog I wrote today about was High Liner Foods (TSX-HLF, OTC-HLNFF) ... learn more. Next, I will write about will be SmartCentres REIT (TSX-SRU.UN, OTC-CWYUF) ... learn more on Wednesday, September 5, 2024 around 5 pm.

This blog is meant for educational purposes only and is not to provide investment advice. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult an investment professional. I do research for my own edification and I am willing to share. I write what I think and I may or may not be correct.

See my website for stocks followed and investment notes. I have three blogs. The first talks only about specific stocks and is called Investment Talk. The second one contains information on mostly investing and is called Investing Economics Mostly. My last blog is for my book reviews and it is called Non-Fiction Mostly. Follow me on Twitter or StockTwits. I am on Instagram with #walktoronto.